Appendix 5. Specific examples of estimates of the mean and uncertainty for various levels in the calculation hierarchy. These are based on five FIA sample plots located in Maine. The species was assumed to be red spruce (Picea rubens). The assumption in this set of calculations is that red spruce has had density estimated and not directly measured. Within a Decay or Size Class for a Species and Site. In plot 407074 there is a total of 18.13 m3/ha of decay class 3 CWD. The estimated mean density is 0.316 Mg/m3 and uncertainty in density is 0.112 Mg/m3. The mean mass and the uncertainty is therefore: Mass DC-Sp-S= 18.13m3/ha*0.316Mg/m3=5.73 Mg/ha UncertaintyMass DC-Sp-S= 18.13m3/ha*0.112Mg/m3=2.031 Mg/ha Within a Species and Site. In plot 407074 there were pieces in decay classes 2-4 and none in decay classes 1 and 5. Since this species did not have density measured directly it is likely density of all decay classes is either under or overestimated to the same degree and we can assume the uncertainties in these decay classes are positively correlated. Therefore the mean and uncertainty of mass for this plot is: Mass Sp-S= 0 Mg/ha+0.519 Mg/ha +5.73 Mg/ha+ 1.39 Mg/ha+0 Mg/ha=7.64 Mg/ha Uncertainty Mass Sp-S= 0.07 Mg/ha +2.03 Mg/ha+ 0.31 Mg/ha =2.41 Mg/ha The relative uncertainty is therefore 31%. Within a Species for all Sites. There are 5 plots each with it’s
own mass and uncertainty estimate. Assuming density in all plots is
under or overestimated to the same degree, total mass and uncertainty
is: Uncertainty Mass Sp = 2.41 Mg/ha +4.02 Mg/ha+ 0.21 Mg/ha +3.76 Mg/ha+ 0.35 Mg/ha =7.37 Mg/ha The relative uncertainty is therefore 27%. Within a Site. The uncertainty in mass for a site combines the mass of all the species at a site. There is no reason to believe that uncertainty in one species is correlated with another, therefore the mean and uncertainty would be: MassS= 7.64 Mg/ha +5.99 Mg/ha=13.64 Mg/ha Uncertainty MassS= square root (2.4122+0.6122)=2.49 Mg/ha The relative uncertainty is therefore 18%. |
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