Analysis
Woody detritus density was expressed in two ways: absolute density (mass/green volume) and relative density (decayed density/undecayed density). Relative density is alternatively called the density reduction factor in the FIA system. We used the existing data to estimate both variables for all the species inventoried by the FIA. In addition to estimating the mean values, we also estimated the uncertainty associated with these estimates of density, with the least uncertainty for species that had been sampled and the greatest for genera that had not been sampled. To estimate densities for species that had not been sampled, we examined the pattern of density reduction for related species and genera that had been sampled. In the case of CWD, we compared absolute and relative density among 5 decay classes. For FWD we were able to only use two decay classes (i.e., undecayed versus decayed), although we did this for three size classes. Data Processing When several sources of data for a species, genus, decay class, or
size class were available we combined the values to estimate an average
and standard error. When sample sizes were listed we used those to
weight the average as well as the standard error of the samples. When
sample sizes were not listed, we calculated a simple average and used
the highest observed standard error as an estimate of uncertainty.
For undecayed wood density of CWD we used estimates provided by the
FIA database, which is largely derived from the Wood Handbook (US Forest
Products Laboratory 1974). Although not all FWD studies reported species-specific
values, we assumed that they represented the values of the dominant
species in the ecosystem from which they had been sampled. CWD Predictions We used the available information to estimate the CWD density (absolute and relative) of each species currently encountered in the national FIA inventory. While it is important to estimate the mean density of decayed wood for all species, it is even more important to estimate the uncertainty introduced in this process. We devised a system in which the uncertainty would increase as the degree of extrapolation increased. Minimal extrapolation was involved when a species had been sampled and maximum extrapolation was involved when a genus had not been sampled. The uncertainty was expressed as the standard error of the mean. There were three levels of uncertainty:
FWD Predictions We also estimated green and decayed density of FWD of the species encountered in the FIA inventory. For FWD undecayed density, we used actual measures or in most cases derived this from undecayed branch density to undecayed bole density ratios (branch to bole ratios). For decayed density we used either means of observed values or derived them from decayed versus undecayed FWD density ratios. As with CWD in addition to estimating the mean value we also estimated the uncertainty in FWD estimates based on the level of information available:
where UDecayed FWD is the uncertainty in decayed FWD density, ID is the mean initial density, UID is the uncertainty in initial density, DGR is the decay to undecayed ratio, and UDGR is the uncertainty in the undecayed ratio. This formula accounts for the fact that uncertainty for decayed FWD density is a function of two uncertainties. Our formula assumed no correlation between the uncertainties. We analyzed the uncertainty of CWD mass estimates caused by using current knowledge about relative density of decay classes. This was achieved by applying various density reduction patterns that are commonly observed to the following likely decay class volume distributions:
To calculate the uncertainty in CWD biomass estimates, the relative volume in each decay class was multiplied by a range of relative density reduction patterns to assess the range of mass estimates that would occur. The relative density reduction patterns that were investigated included: 1) a steady decrease from decay class to decay class, 2) an asymptotic pattern with decay classes 4 and 5 similar, 3) a mid-plateau in density decline with decay classes 2 and 3 being similar and 4) the pattern for Douglas-fir (the most commonly used pattern in previous studies). We also assessed the uncertainty for a well-sampled species (Douglas-fir) and a well-sampled genus (pines) as well as the minimum and maximum relative values observed. The latter two patterns places upper and lower uncertainty bounds on species or genera that have not been sampled. For most cases, the product of relative volume and relative density for each decay class for each relative density reduction pattern was summed and then compared to the value for Douglas-fir, which serves as a useful reference given that this pattern of density change has been used frequently. The exception was that for the overall minimum and maximum relative densities we used the mean of all species as the reference. Analysis of Uncertainty on FWD Mass Estimates We assessed the importance of two facets of uncertainty for estimates of FWD mass. The first aspect was the effect of having directly determined the relative density of decayed FWD; this was assessed by comparing the uncertainty in relative density of species that had actual samples versus those that did not. The second aspect involved the fact that the current system estimates an average FWD relative density, but does not account for the effect of pulses of input. Given that many sound branches and tops are left after disturbances such as harvests, pulses of FWD input are common. Immediately after a disturbance FWD density is likely to be close to the undecayed density. As the time since the disturbance increases the overall density of FWD is likely to decline at least until new material replaces it. To mimic this situation we tracked the abundance and relative density of two sources of wood: a pulse and that due to regular mortality processes. For the pulse we assumed the abundance of this FWD pool would follow a negative exponential decline. We assumed the density of the pulse would also decline, but that density would asymptote to reflect the presence of decay resistant portions of branches (i.e., knots). For the FWD generated by regular mortality processes we assumed that pool would gradually accumulate and that the density would decline to a lesser degree given that undecayed would is being added regularly. This asymptote was assumed to equal the average value we found in our analysis of the FWD dataset. We assumed the rate the pulse FWD was lost was the same as the rate the new FWD accumulated. Given that the accumulation rate is often close to the disappearance rate this assumption is reasonable (Olson 1963). We explored the effect of not knowing the decay state of FWD by varying the size of the pulse from 5, 10, and 20 times the size of the regular FWD pool. We also varied the asymptotic density of the pulse of FWD from a relative density of 0.1 to 0.4 as well as explored the effect of the decomposition rate of FWD. We then noted the difference between the minimum and the average relative density as this indicated the uncertainty that might be introduced by not noting the decay state of FWD. |
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